Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Stefano Lotti
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.26) 1.01 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.5% 26.9% 27.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
12.6%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Camaiore
0 1 2 3 4 5
Poggibonsi 0 9.0% 9.1% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.6% 12.7% 6.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.8% 8.9% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPoggibonsiCamaiore
Played55
Form7%7%
Attack17%33%
Defense17%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Poggibonsi Camaiore
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins0%0%0%29%0%15%
Draws33%14%23%14%33%23%
Loses67%86%77%57%67%62%

Form: Poggibonsi: LLLDDLLLLDLLL • Camaiore: LWDLDWLLDLLLL

League goals

Metric Poggibonsi Camaiore
HATHAT
GF total53810414
GF avg0.80.40.61.40.71.1
GA total91625131326
GA avg1.52.31.91.92.22.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePoggibonsiCamaiore
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%100%69%92%
1.58%62%38%62%
2.50%23%0%23%
3.50%8%0%15%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPoggibonsiCamaiore
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score246134

Penalties

MetricPoggibonsiCamaiore
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPoggibonsiCamaiore
Wins01
Draws21
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-0—
Biggest losses1-24-01-45-0
Goals For2122
Goals Against2445

Model comparison

MetricPoggibonsiCamaiore
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total47.3%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Camaiore

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Betano
Draw3.42 @ Marathonbet
Away3.72 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.83 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Marathonbet
No1.95 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Poggibonsi = 1.40 (league 1.26), Camaiore = 1.01 (league 1.04)

Camaiore
0 1 2 3 4 5
Poggibonsi 0 9.0% 9.1% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.6% 12.7% 6.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.8% 8.9% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.5% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 27.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1