Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Lorenzo Casini
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.26) 0.35 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.3% 33.1% 11.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.9%
0 - 0
23.2%
2 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sansepolcro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Trestina 0 23.2% 8.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.9% 9.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.4% 5.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting TrestinaSansepolcro
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack50%25%
Defense58%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting Trestina Sansepolcro
HATHAT
Played76136713
Wins43%17%31%33%0%15%
Draws14%50%31%33%43%38%
Loses43%33%38%33%57%46%

Form: Sporting Trestina: LWLLDLWDLWWDD • Sansepolcro: WLDDDDLLLLLWD

League goals

Metric Sporting Trestina Sansepolcro
HATHAT
GF total7714448
GF avg1.01.21.10.70.60.6
GA total481241014
GA avg0.61.30.90.71.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting TrestinaSansepolcro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%77%54%69%
1.531%15%8%38%
2.58%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting TrestinaSansepolcro
HATHAT
Clean sheets303314
Failed to score314246

Penalties

MetricSporting TrestinaSansepolcro
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSporting TrestinaSansepolcro
Wins21
Draws14
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-21-0—
Biggest losses0-12-11-22-0
Goals For3212
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricSporting TrestinaSansepolcro
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h88%13%
Goals71%29%
Total70.7%29.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sporting Trestina or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sporting Trestina = 1.11 (league 1.26), Sansepolcro = 0.35 (league 1.04)

Sansepolcro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Trestina 0 23.2% 8.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.9% 9.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.4% 5.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.3% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 11.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1