Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Lorenzo Casini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.26) 0.35 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.0% 33.2% 11.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.7%
0 - 0
23.2%
2 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sansepolcro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Trestina 0 23.2% 8.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.7% 9.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.3% 5.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting TrestinaSansepolcro
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack54%23%
Defense62%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting Trestina Sansepolcro
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%14%29%29%0%14%
Draws14%57%36%29%43%36%
Loses43%29%36%43%57%50%

Form: Sporting Trestina: LWLLDLWDLWWDDD • Sansepolcro: WLDDDDLLLLLWDL

League goals

Metric Sporting Trestina Sansepolcro
HATHAT
GF total7815448
GF avg1.01.11.10.60.60.6
GA total491361016
GA avg0.61.30.90.91.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting TrestinaSansepolcro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%79%50%71%
1.529%14%7%43%
2.57%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting TrestinaSansepolcro
HATHAT
Clean sheets303314
Failed to score314347

Penalties

MetricSporting TrestinaSansepolcro
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSporting TrestinaSansepolcro
Wins21
Draws14
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-21-0—
Biggest losses0-12-10-22-0
Goals For3212
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricSporting TrestinaSansepolcro
Form69%31%
Att70%30%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h88%13%
Goals71%29%
Total72.0%28.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sporting Trestina or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away4.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ William Hill
No1.72 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sporting Trestina = 1.11 (league 1.26), Sansepolcro = 0.35 (league 1.02)

Sansepolcro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Trestina 0 23.2% 8.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.7% 9.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.3% 5.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.0% · Draw 33.2% · Away win 11.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1