Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.26)
1.48 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.1% | 26.3% | 57.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.7%
0 - 2
13.1%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Robur Siena | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0 | 11.9% | 17.7% | 13.1% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Robur Siena |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 13% |
| Attack | 15% | 15% |
| Defense | 54% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Robur Siena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 14% | 29% | 21% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Draws | 57% | 14% | 36% | 14% | 43% | 29% |
| Loses | 29% | 57% | 43% | 43% | 14% | 29% |
Form: Montevarchi Calcio: LDLWDDLWDLLWDL • Robur Siena: LWWDWWWWDDLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Robur Siena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Montevarchi Calcio | Robur Siena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 79% | 71% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 43% | 29% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 29% | 0% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Robur Siena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Robur Siena |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Robur Siena |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 2-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Robur Siena |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 11% | 89% |
| Total | 42.0% | 58.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Robur Siena and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Montevarchi Calcio = 0.64 (league 1.26), Robur Siena = 1.48 (league 1.04)
| Robur Siena | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0 | 11.9% | 17.7% | 13.1% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.1% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 57.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1