Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Luigi Muzi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.26) 1.92 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.1% 22.2% 54.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Gavorrano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orvietana Calcio 0 4.7% 9.1% 8.7% 5.6% 2.7% 1.0%
1 5.4% 10.3% 9.9% 6.3% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.0% 5.8% 5.6% 3.6% 1.7% 0.7%
3 1.1% 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOrvietana CalcioGavorrano
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack46%62%
Defense62%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Orvietana Calcio Gavorrano
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%29%29%14%43%29%
Draws0%43%21%14%29%21%
Loses71%29%50%71%29%50%

Form: Orvietana Calcio: WLLLLWWLDLLDWD • Gavorrano: WWDLLLDLLLWLWD

League goals

Metric Orvietana Calcio Gavorrano
HATHAT
GF total991851015
GF avg1.31.31.30.71.41.1
GA total1071712820
GA avg1.41.01.21.71.11.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOrvietana CalcioGavorrano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%71%64%93%
1.529%43%29%36%
2.521%7%7%7%
3.514%0%7%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOrvietana CalcioGavorrano
HATHAT
Clean sheets134011
Failed to score325415

Penalties

MetricOrvietana CalcioGavorrano
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricOrvietana CalcioGavorrano
Wins22
Draws11
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-42-11-4
Biggest losses0-23-12-42-0
Goals For4424
Goals Against2342

Model comparison

MetricOrvietana CalcioGavorrano
Form42%58%
Att43%57%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h38%62%
Goals55%45%
Total45.8%54.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gavorrano

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ 1xBet
Draw3.34 @ Marathonbet
Away2.80 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.84 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Marathonbet
No2.04 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Orvietana Calcio = 1.13 (league 1.26), Gavorrano = 1.92 (league 1.02)

Gavorrano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orvietana Calcio 0 4.7% 9.1% 8.7% 5.6% 2.7% 1.0%
1 5.4% 10.3% 9.9% 6.3% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.0% 5.8% 5.6% 3.6% 1.7% 0.7%
3 1.1% 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.1% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 54.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1