Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Buitoni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.26) 1.14 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.4% 32.1% 52.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.6%
0 - 0
19.8%
0 - 2
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Orvietana Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sansepolcro 0 19.8% 22.6% 13.0% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3%
1 9.4% 10.8% 6.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 2.2% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSansepolcroOrvietana Calcio
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack33%83%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sansepolcro Orvietana Calcio
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%0%13%25%29%27%
Draws29%38%33%13%43%27%
Loses43%63%53%63%29%47%

Form: Sansepolcro: WLDDDDLLLLLWDLL • Orvietana Calcio: WLLLLWWLDLLDWDD

League goals

Metric Sansepolcro Orvietana Calcio
HATHAT
GF total4489918
GF avg0.60.50.51.11.31.2
GA total6111710717
GA avg0.91.41.11.31.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSansepolcroOrvietana Calcio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%73%60%67%
1.57%40%27%40%
2.50%0%20%7%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSansepolcroOrvietana Calcio
HATHAT
Clean sheets314235
Failed to score358426

Penalties

MetricSansepolcroOrvietana Calcio
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSansepolcroOrvietana Calcio
Wins12
Draws41
Losses54

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—4-00-4
Biggest losses0-22-00-23-1
Goals For1244
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricSansepolcroOrvietana Calcio
Form40%60%
Att29%71%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Orvietana Calcio and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.33 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.25 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ William Hill
No1.67 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sansepolcro = 0.48 (league 1.26), Orvietana Calcio = 1.14 (league 1.02)

Orvietana Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sansepolcro 0 19.8% 22.6% 13.0% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3%
1 9.4% 10.8% 6.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 2.2% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.4% · Draw 32.1% · Away win 52.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1