Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Carraia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.01 (league 1.26) 0.39 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.3% 8.6% 2.7%
best score tips
3 - 0
15.2%
2 - 0
15.1%
4 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Montevarchi Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 0 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.0% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.1% 5.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.2% 5.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.4% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoMontevarchi Calcio
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack100%50%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano Montevarchi Calcio
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%38%40%25%29%27%
Draws57%13%33%50%14%33%
Loses0%50%27%25%57%40%

Form: Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano: WLDWDLWWDWWLDDL • Montevarchi Calcio: LDLWDDLWDLLWDLW

League goals

Metric Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano Montevarchi Calcio
HATHAT
GF total148227714
GF avg2.01.01.50.91.00.9
GA total31215101323
GA avg0.41.51.01.31.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoMontevarchi Calcio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%67%60%73%
1.540%27%20%40%
2.520%7%13%27%
3.57%0%0%13%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoMontevarchi Calcio
HATHAT
Clean sheets415224
Failed to score134336

Penalties

MetricGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoMontevarchi Calcio
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoMontevarchi Calcio
Wins21
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-23-22-3
Biggest losses—3-00-43-0
Goals For5233
Goals Against1344

Model comparison

MetricGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoMontevarchi Calcio
Form42%58%
Att67%33%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h40%60%
Goals43%57%
Total51.8%48.2%

Advice: Winner : Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.40 @ Marathonbet
Away2.67 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.90 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Superbet
No2.08 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano = 3.01 (league 1.26), Montevarchi Calcio = 0.39 (league 1.02)

Montevarchi Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 0 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.0% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.1% 5.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.2% 5.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.4% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.3% · Draw 8.6% · Away win 2.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1