Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Pianigiani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.26) 1.76 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.3% 23.3% 57.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.7%
0 - 2
11.1%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Grosseto
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Donato Tavarnelle 0 7.2% 12.7% 11.1% 6.5% 2.9% 1.0%
1 6.3% 11.0% 9.7% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 2.7% 4.8% 4.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSan Donato TavarnelleGrosseto
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack83%100%
Defense17%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric San Donato Tavarnelle Grosseto
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%38%40%75%86%80%
Draws43%38%40%25%0%13%
Loses14%25%20%0%14%7%

Form: San Donato Tavarnelle: WDWWDLDWWLLWDDD • Grosseto: LWWWDWWWWWWWDWW

League goals

Metric San Donato Tavarnelle Grosseto
HATHAT
GF total8816171431
GF avg1.11.01.12.12.02.1
GA total68144711
GA avg0.91.00.90.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSan Donato TavarnelleGrosseto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%100%53%
1.527%13%53%20%
2.57%7%40%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSan Donato TavarnelleGrosseto
HATHAT
Clean sheets224437
Failed to score224000

Penalties

MetricSan Donato TavarnelleGrosseto
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricSan Donato TavarnelleGrosseto
Wins27
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-24-02-4
Biggest losses0-23-0—2-1
Goals For3244
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricSan Donato TavarnelleGrosseto
Form32%68%
Att29%71%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total32.2%68.0%

Advice: Winner : Grosseto

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.86 @ 1xBet
Draw3.18 @ Marathonbet
Away2.30 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.79 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Superbet
No2.00 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): San Donato Tavarnelle = 0.87 (league 1.26), Grosseto = 1.76 (league 1.02)

Grosseto
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Donato Tavarnelle 0 7.2% 12.7% 11.1% 6.5% 2.9% 1.0%
1 6.3% 11.0% 9.7% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 2.7% 4.8% 4.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.3% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 57.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1