Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Carlo Zecchini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.50 (league 1.26) 0.49 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.1% 13.4% 5.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.7%
3 - 0
13.1%
1 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grosseto 0 5.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.6% 6.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.7% 7.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.1% 6.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.2% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGrossetoGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano
Played55
Form87%13%
Attack69%23%
Defense77%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Grosseto Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins75%88%81%38%38%38%
Draws25%0%13%50%13%31%
Loses0%13%6%13%50%31%

Form: Grosseto: LWWWDWWWWWWWDWWW • Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano: WLDWDLWWDWWLDDLL

League goals

Metric Grosseto Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
HATHAT
GF total17153214822
GF avg2.11.92.01.81.01.4
GA total471151217
GA avg0.50.90.70.61.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGrossetoGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%69%69%
1.550%19%38%31%
2.538%0%19%6%
3.513%0%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGrossetoGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano
HATHAT
Clean sheets448415
Failed to score000235

Penalties

MetricGrossetoGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricGrossetoGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano
Wins72
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-45-00-2
Biggest losses—2-10-23-0
Goals For4452
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricGrossetoGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano
Form87%13%
Att75%25%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total74.5%25.5%

Advice: Winner : Grosseto

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ 10Bet
Draw3.90 @ Pinnacle
Away6.20 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Superbet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Grosseto = 2.50 (league 1.26), Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano = 0.49 (league 1.02)

Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grosseto 0 5.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.6% 6.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.7% 7.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.1% 6.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.2% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.1% · Draw 13.4% · Away win 5.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1