Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Carlo Zecchini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.28) 0.50 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.8% 18.4% 8.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.4%
1 - 0
16.2%
3 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Seravezza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grosseto 0 8.0% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.2% 8.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.4% 8.2% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.1% 5.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGrossetoSeravezza
Played55
Form87%87%
Attack50%67%
Defense92%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Grosseto Seravezza
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins78%88%82%100%25%65%
Draws22%0%12%0%50%24%
Loses0%13%6%0%25%12%

Form: Grosseto: LWWWDWWWWWWWDWWWW • Seravezza: WWWLWLWDWDWDWWWDW

League goals

Metric Grosseto Seravezza
HATHAT
GF total181533141024
GF avg2.01.91.91.61.31.4
GA total471121012
GA avg0.40.90.60.21.30.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGrossetoSeravezza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%47%94%47%
1.547%18%47%18%
2.535%0%0%6%
3.512%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGrossetoSeravezza
HATHAT
Clean sheets549729
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricGrossetoSeravezza
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricGrossetoSeravezza
Wins73
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-42-00-2
Biggest losses—2-1—2-0
Goals For4422
Goals Against1213

Model comparison

MetricGrossetoSeravezza
Form50%50%
Att43%57%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total56.3%43.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Grosseto or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ Superbet
Draw3.40 @ 10Bet
Away5.44 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ William Hill
No1.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Grosseto = 2.02 (league 1.28), Seravezza = 0.50 (league 1.04)

Seravezza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grosseto 0 8.0% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.2% 8.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.4% 8.2% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.1% 5.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.8% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 8.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1