Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Lorenzo Casini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.27) 0.61 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.0% 38.3% 25.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.9%
1 - 0
19.4%
0 - 1
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Trestina 0 24.9% 15.2% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 11.8% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.6% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting TrestinaSan Donato Tavarnelle
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack21%16%
Defense68%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting Trestina San Donato Tavarnelle
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins44%13%29%38%33%35%
Draws11%50%29%38%33%35%
Loses44%38%41%25%33%29%

Form: Sporting Trestina: LWLLDLWDLWWDDDWLL • San Donato Tavarnelle: WDWWDLDWWLLWDDDLL

League goals

Metric Sporting Trestina San Donato Tavarnelle
HATHAT
GF total89178816
GF avg0.91.11.01.00.90.9
GA total6111771017
GA avg0.71.41.00.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting TrestinaSan Donato Tavarnelle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%76%65%76%
1.524%24%24%18%
2.56%0%6%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting TrestinaSan Donato Tavarnelle
HATHAT
Clean sheets404224
Failed to score415336

Penalties

MetricSporting TrestinaSan Donato Tavarnelle
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSporting TrestinaSan Donato Tavarnelle
Wins22
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-10-2
Biggest losses0-22-10-23-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricSporting TrestinaSan Donato Tavarnelle
Form63%38%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total55.2%45.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sporting Trestina or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.95 @ Unibet
Away3.10 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sporting Trestina = 0.78 (league 1.27), San Donato Tavarnelle = 0.61 (league 1.03)

San Donato Tavarnelle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Trestina 0 24.9% 15.2% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 11.8% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.6% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.0% · Draw 38.3% · Away win 25.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1