Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Luigi Muzi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.29) 0.95 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.4% 31.1% 32.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
0 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Prato
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orvietana Calcio 0 14.0% 13.2% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.3% 13.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.3% 6.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOrvietana CalcioPrato
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack75%42%
Defense75%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Orvietana Calcio Prato
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins33%25%29%88%22%53%
Draws11%50%29%0%22%12%
Loses56%25%41%13%56%35%

Form: Orvietana Calcio: WLLLLWWLDLLDWDDDW • Prato: LLWLWWWLWDWWLWLWD

League goals

Metric Orvietana Calcio Prato
HATHAT
GF total11112216824
GF avg1.21.41.32.00.91.4
GA total1091961016
GA avg1.11.11.10.81.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOrvietana CalcioPrato
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%65%71%71%
1.535%41%59%18%
2.518%6%12%6%
3.512%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOrvietana CalcioPrato
HATHAT
Clean sheets336235
Failed to score426145

Penalties

MetricOrvietana CalcioPrato
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricOrvietana CalcioPrato
Wins23
Draws31
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-43-10-2
Biggest losses0-23-10-13-2
Goals For4432
Goals Against2313

Model comparison

MetricOrvietana CalcioPrato
Form56%44%
Att64%36%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total56.8%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : Orvietana Calcio or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Superbet
Away2.62 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.75 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Superbet
No1.96 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Orvietana Calcio = 1.02 (league 1.29), Prato = 0.95 (league 1.05)

Prato
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orvietana Calcio 0 14.0% 13.2% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.3% 13.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.3% 6.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.4% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 32.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1