Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.27) 1.49 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.6% 26.3% 52.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.8%
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 2
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Foligno Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montevarchi Calcio 0 9.9% 14.8% 11.0% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.1% 12.1% 9.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 3.3% 5.0% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMontevarchi CalcioFoligno Calcio
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack33%67%
Defense83%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Montevarchi Calcio Foligno Calcio
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins22%38%29%44%50%47%
Draws56%13%35%56%0%29%
Loses22%50%35%0%50%24%

Form: Montevarchi Calcio: LDLWDDLWDLLWDLWWD • Foligno Calcio: WLDWWLWWDWWLDLDDW

League goals

Metric Montevarchi Calcio Foligno Calcio
HATHAT
GF total7916171128
GF avg0.81.10.91.91.41.6
GA total10132391019
GA avg1.11.61.41.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMontevarchi CalcioFoligno Calcio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%65%82%71%
1.524%35%47%29%
2.512%24%24%12%
3.50%12%12%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMontevarchi CalcioFoligno Calcio
HATHAT
Clean sheets336235
Failed to score437123

Penalties

MetricMontevarchi CalcioFoligno Calcio
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMontevarchi CalcioFoligno Calcio
Wins22
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-24-22-4
Biggest losses0-43-0—3-1
Goals For3344
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricMontevarchi CalcioFoligno Calcio
Form57%43%
Att33%67%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Foligno Calcio

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.77 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away2.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ William Hill
No1.98 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.79 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Montevarchi Calcio = 0.82 (league 1.27), Foligno Calcio = 1.49 (league 1.03)

Foligno Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montevarchi Calcio 0 9.9% 14.8% 11.0% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.1% 12.1% 9.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 3.3% 5.0% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.6% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 52.6%

vtt 2 , vtd1