Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Romeo Malservisi
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.27)
0.87 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.9% | 28.2% | 24.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Poggibonsi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gavorrano | 0 | 11.1% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.7% | 12.8% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.8% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gavorrano | Poggibonsi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 37% | 32% |
| Defense | 58% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gavorrano | Poggibonsi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 25% | 40% | 33% | 11% | 0% | 6% |
| Draws | 13% | 30% | 22% | 22% | 22% | 22% |
| Loses | 63% | 30% | 44% | 67% | 78% | 72% |
Form: Gavorrano: WWDLLLDLLLWLWDDWLW • Poggibonsi: LLLDDLLLLDLLLLLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Gavorrano | Poggibonsi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 15 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 12 | 15 | 27 | 14 | 19 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gavorrano | Poggibonsi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 83% | 61% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 33% | 11% | 61% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 6% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gavorrano | Poggibonsi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gavorrano | Poggibonsi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gavorrano | Poggibonsi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-4 | 3-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 6-1 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gavorrano | Poggibonsi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 59.8% | 40.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Gavorrano or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gavorrano = 1.32 (league 1.27), Poggibonsi = 0.87 (league 1.03)
| Poggibonsi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gavorrano | 0 | 11.1% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.7% | 12.8% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.8% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.9% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 24.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1