Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Carraia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.29) 0.63 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.3% 20.1% 11.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
2 - 0
14.4%
3 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sporting Trestina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 0 7.6% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.7% 9.3% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.4% 9.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoSporting Trestina
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack16%21%
Defense58%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano Sporting Trestina
HATHAT
Played810189817
Wins38%30%33%44%13%29%
Draws50%20%33%11%50%29%
Loses13%50%33%44%38%41%

Form: Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano: WLDWDLWWDWWLDDLLLD • Sporting Trestina: LWLLDLWDLWWDDDWLL

League goals

Metric Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano Sporting Trestina
HATHAT
GF total1410248917
GF avg1.81.01.30.91.11.0
GA total5152061117
GA avg0.61.51.10.71.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoSporting Trestina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%72%71%76%
1.539%33%24%24%
2.517%6%6%0%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoSporting Trestina
HATHAT
Clean sheets415404
Failed to score246415

Penalties

MetricGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoSporting Trestina
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoSporting Trestina
Wins22
Draws23
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-23-01-2
Biggest losses0-23-00-22-1
Goals For5232
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoSporting Trestina
Form29%71%
Att43%57%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total39.3%60.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sporting Trestina

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.45 @ Dafabet
Away2.65 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.88 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Marathonbet
No2.10 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano = 1.95 (league 1.29), Sporting Trestina = 0.63 (league 1.05)

Sporting Trestina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 0 7.6% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.7% 9.3% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.4% 9.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.3% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 11.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1