Poggibonsi vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano

Serie D - Girone E — Italy

Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Stefano Lotti

Match Finished

Poggibonsi

1 - 0

Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano

Expected Goals

1.18 (league 1.27) 1.35 (league 1.03)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
32.4%	26.7%	40.5%

best score tips

1 - 1

12.7%

0 - 1

10.7%

1 - 0

9.4%

Score & goals probability table

		Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Poggibonsi	0	7.9%	10.7%	7.3%	3.3%	1.1%	0.3%
	1	9.4%	12.7%	8.6%	3.9%	1.3%	0.4%
	2	5.5%	7.5%	5.1%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
	3	2.2%	2.9%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%
	4	0.6%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Poggibonsi	Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
Played	5	5
Form	53%	33%
Attack	33%	58%
Defense	75%	33%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	7 \| 1.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	8 \| 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%

FT probability

2.5+

50%

FT probability

3.5+

35%

FT probability

BTTS

71%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Poggibonsi			Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	10	11	21	10	11	21
Wins	20%	9%	14%	40%	27%	33%
Draws	20%	27%	24%	50%	18%	33%
Loses	60%	64%	62%	10%	55%	33%

Form: Poggibonsi: LLLDDLLLLDLLLLLWDLWWD • Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano: WLDWDLWWDWWLDDLLLDWLD

League goals

Metric	Poggibonsi			Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	10	7	17	18	11	29
GF avg	1.0	0.6	0.8	1.8	1.0	1.4
GA total	14	20	34	8	17	25
GA avg	1.4	1.8	1.6	0.8	1.5	1.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Poggibonsi		Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	62%	90%	71%	76%
1.5	14%	52%	38%	38%
2.5	5%	14%	19%	5%
3.5	0%	5%	5%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	5%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Poggibonsi			Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	1	2	4	1	5
Failed to score	3	5	8	2	4	6

Penalties

Metric	Poggibonsi	Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	2

Streaks

Metric	Poggibonsi	Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
Wins	2	2
Draws	2	2
Losses	5	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-2	1-2	5-0	0-2
Biggest losses	1-2	4-0	0-2	3-0
Goals For	3	2	5	2
Goals Against	2	4	2	3

Model comparison

Metric	Poggibonsi	Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
Form	62%	38%
Att	36%	64%
Def	73%	27%
Poisson Distribution	45%	55%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	50%	50%
Total	52.7%	47.3%

Advice: Double chance : Poggibonsi or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Betano

Draw3.40 @ Dafabet

Away2.16 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Superbet

Under 2.51.83 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Superbet

No2.02 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Marathonbet Updated: 2026-02-01T12:00:41+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.92
Draw	3.30
Away	2.14

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.25
Draw	2.42
Away	2.49

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1	5.50
Away -1	1.08
Home -0.75	3.58
Away -0.75	1.21
Home -0.25	2.49
Away -0.25	1.42
Home +0	2.16
Away +0	1.60
Home +0.25	1.78
Away +0.25	1.84
Home +0.75	1.41
Away +0.75	2.52
Home +1	1.24
Away +1	3.34
Home +2	1.01
Away +2	8.80
Home -1.5	6.55
Away -1.5	1.05
Home +1.25	1.18
Away +1.25	3.85
Home +1.5	1.15
Away +1.5	4.30
Home +2.5	1.01
Away +2.5	8.40

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.24
Under 1.5	3.34
Over 1.75	1.30
Under 1.75	2.97
Over 2.0	1.39
Under 2.0	2.59
Over 2.25	1.61
Under 2.25	2.07
Over 2.5	1.86
Under 2.5	1.83
Over 2.75	2.07
Under 2.75	1.61
Over 3.5	3.14
Under 3.5	1.27
Over 1.0	1.01
Under 1.0	8.80
Over 3.0	2.49
Under 3.0	1.42
Over 3.25	2.83
Under 3.25	1.33
Over 3.75	3.92
Under 3.75	1.18
Over 4.0	5.45
Under 4.0	1.08

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.75
Under 1.5	1.36
Over 0.5	1.34
Under 0.5	2.83
Over 1.0	1.81
Under 1.0	1.87

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.08
Under 1.5	1.65
Over 2.0	3.42
Under 2.0	1.24
Over 1.0	1.39
Under 1.0	2.63

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.68
No	1.99

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -1	6.00
Away -1	1.30
Draw -1	4.40
Home +1	1.56
Draw +1	3.88
Away +1	4.30
Home +2	1.15
Draw +2	4.45
Away +2	5.95

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.56
Home/Away	1.24
Draw/Away	1.30

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.58
Draw	2.08
Away	2.76

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	2.13
Draw	11.75
Away	1.76

Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last

Selection	Odds
Home	2.12
Draw	11.75
Away	1.77

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.64
Under 1.5	1.40
Over 1	1.73
Under 1	1.97
Over 2	5.45
Under 2	1.08

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.15
Under 1.5	1.61
Over 1	1.42
Under 1	2.57
Over 2	3.75
Under 2	1.21

1xBet Updated: 2026-02-01T12:00:41+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.98
Draw	3.30
Away	2.16

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.36
Draw	2.42
Away	2.51

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1	5.50
Away -1	1.08
Home -0.75	3.58
Away -0.75	1.21
Home -0.25	2.49
Away -0.25	1.42
Home +0	2.16
Away +0	1.60
Home +0.25	1.78
Away +0.25	1.84
Home +0.75	1.41
Away +0.75	2.52
Home +1	1.24
Away +1	3.34
Home +2	1.01
Away +2	8.80
Home -1.5	6.55
Away -1.5	1.05
Home +1.25	1.18
Away +1.25	3.85
Home +1.5	1.15
Away +1.5	4.30
Home +2.5	1.03
Away +2.5	8.80

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.24
Under 1.5	3.34
Over 1.75	1.30
Under 1.75	2.97
Over 2.0	1.39
Under 2.0	2.59
Over 2.25	1.61
Under 2.25	2.07
Over 2.5	1.86
Under 2.5	1.83
Over 2.75	2.07
Under 2.75	1.61
Over 3.5	3.14
Under 3.5	1.27
Over 1.0	1.01
Under 1.0	8.80
Over 3.0	2.49
Under 3.0	1.42
Over 4.5	6.20
Under 4.5	1.09
Over 3.25	2.83
Under 3.25	1.33
Over 3.75	3.92
Under 3.75	1.18
Over 4.0	5.45
Under 4.0	1.08
Over 5.5	9.10
Under 5.5	1.03

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.75
Under 1.5	1.36
Over 2.5	6.60
Under 2.5	1.08
Over 0.5	1.34
Under 0.5	2.83
Over 0.75	1.49
Under 0.75	2.38
Over 1.0	1.81
Under 1.0	1.87
Over 1.25	2.28
Under 1.25	1.53

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.08
Under 1.5	1.65
Over 1.75	2.51
Under 1.75	1.44
Over 2.0	3.42
Under 2.0	1.24
Over 2.5	4.30
Under 2.5	1.17
Over 0.5	1.22
Under 0.5	3.80
Over 1.0	1.39
Under 1.0	2.63
Over 1.25	1.74
Under 1.25	1.93

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	16.00
Home/Away	24.00
Draw/Away	5.60
Draw/Draw	4.80
Home/Home	4.90
Draw/Home	7.10
Away/Home	29.00
Away/Draw	16.00
Away/Away	3.60

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.68
No	2.02

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	6.20
2:0	10.00
2:1	7.00
3:0	25.00
3:1	17.00
3:2	23.00
4:0	80.00
4:1	60.00
0:0	6.80
1:1	4.20
2:2	8.80
0:1	5.20
0:2	6.80
0:3	13.00
1:2	5.80
1:3	11.00
2:3	18.00
3:3	45.00
0:4	35.00
1:4	29.00
2:4	50.00
4:2	80.00
0:5	100.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	100.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.44
1st Half	3.00
2nd Half	2.01

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.56
Home/Away	1.24
Draw/Away	1.30

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.72
Draw	2.08
Away	2.78

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.64
Under 1.5	1.40
Over 1	1.73
Under 1	1.97
Over 2	5.45
Under 2	1.08
Over 0.5	1.31
Under 0.5	2.97

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.15
Under 1.5	1.61
Over 1	1.42
Under 1	2.57
Over 2	3.75
Under 2	1.21
Over 0.5	1.20
Under 0.5	3.80

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	2.79
Away -0.25	1.35
Home +0	2.06
Away +0	1.63
Home +0.25	1.55
Away +0.25	2.20
Home +1	1.03
Away +1	7.30

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.32
Home/Away	1.56
Draw/Away	1.18

Bet ID 33 — Double Chance - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.39
Home/Away	1.41
Draw/Away	1.23

Bet ID 34 — Both Teams Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	4.33
No	1.16

Bet ID 35 — Both Teams To Score - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	3.14
No	1.30

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.82
Even	1.82

Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.01
Even	1.67

Bet ID 23 — Home Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.97
Even	1.69

Bet ID 60 — Away Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.90
Even	1.75

Bet ID 104 — Asian Handicap (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	2.63
Away -0.25	1.39
Home +0	2.08
Away +0	1.62
Home +0.25	1.63
Away +0.25	2.06
Home +1	1.08
Away +1	5.45

Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	2.18
Under 0.5	1.56

Bet ID 106 — Away Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.91
Under 0.5	1.74

Bet ID 107 — Home Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.84
Under 0.5	1.80

Bet ID 108 — Away Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.64
Under 0.5	2.04

Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.91
Even	1.74

Betano Updated: 2026-02-01T12:00:41+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.00
Draw	3.25
Away	2.12

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	2.15
Away	1.55

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.25
Draw	2.45
Away	2.42

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home +0.25	1.82
Away +0.25	1.80

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.5	1.83
Under 2.5	1.80

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.37
Under 0.5	2.50
Over 1.0	1.78
Under 1.0	1.75

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	13.50
Home/Away	25.00
Draw/Away	5.10
Draw/Draw	5.00
Home/Home	5.10
Draw/Home	6.70
Away/Home	35.00
Away/Draw	14.00
Away/Away	3.45

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	7.60
2:0	11.75
2:1	8.25
3:0	25.00
3:1	17.50
3:2	22.00
4:0	70.00
4:1	50.00
0:0	10.00
1:1	5.20
2:2	10.00
0:1	6.10
0:2	8.00
0:3	14.50
1:2	6.80
1:3	12.50
2:3	18.00
3:3	37.00
0:4	32.00
1:4	28.00
2:4	40.00
4:2	60.00
0:5	90.00
0:6	300.00
1:5	75.00
1:6	250.00
2:5	110.00
2:6	350.00
3:4	90.00
5:0	200.00
5:1	150.00
5:2	200.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	250.00
5:3	300.00
4:4	200.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.25
1st Half	3.05
2nd Half	1.95

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.80
2:0	10.25
2:1	14.00
3:0	37.00
3:1	50.00
3:2	110.00
4:0	175.00
4:1	250.00
0:0	2.50
1:1	5.00
2:2	32.00
0:1	3.20
0:2	7.50
0:3	23.00
1:2	12.00
1:3	37.00
2:3	100.00
0:4	90.00
1:4	150.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.57
Home/Away	1.28
Draw/Away	1.32

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.55
Draw	2.07
Away	2.75

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.37
Home/Away	1.60
Draw/Away	1.25

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.83
Even	1.80

Bet ID 109 — Draw No Bet (1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	2.02
Away	1.60

Bet ID 182 — Draw No Bet (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	2.07
Away	1.57

Superbet Updated: 2026-02-01T12:00:41+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.00
Draw	3.35
Away	2.12

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	2.15
Away	1.55

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.25
Under 1.5	3.25
Over 2.5	1.87
Under 2.5	1.83
Over 3.5	3.00
Under 3.5	1.29

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	11.00
Home/Away	18.00
Draw/Away	5.00
Draw/Draw	4.85
Home/Home	4.80
Draw/Home	6.30
Away/Home	21.00
Away/Draw	11.00
Away/Away	3.40

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.73
No	2.00

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	7.90
2:0	12.00
2:1	8.70
3:0	22.00
3:1	17.00
3:2	21.00
4:0	50.00
4:1	40.00
0:0	8.70
1:1	5.85
2:2	11.00
0:1	6.80
0:2	8.30
0:3	14.00
1:2	7.40
1:3	13.00
2:3	18.00
3:3	34.00
0:4	29.00
1:4	25.00
2:4	36.00
4:2	50.00
3:4	60.00
4:3	65.00
4:4	90.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.58
Home/Away	1.25
Draw/Away	1.30

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.88
Even	1.83

Bet ID 25 — Result/Total Goals

Selection	Odds
Draw/Over 1.5	4.30
Away/Over 1.5	2.67
Home/Over 1.5	3.85
Home/Under 1.5	8.30
Draw/Under 1.5	9.00
Away/Under 1.5	7.00
Home/Over 2.5	4.75
Draw/Over 2.5	9.50
Away/Over 2.5	3.35
Home/Under 2.5	5.90
Draw/Under 2.5	4.20
Away/Under 2.5	4.60
Draw/Over 3.5	9.50
Home/Over 3.5	8.30
Away/Over 3.5	5.85
Home/Under 3.5	3.85
Draw/Under 3.5	4.20
Away/Under 3.5	2.90

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Poggibonsi vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano

Expected goals (λ): Poggibonsi = 1.18 (league 1.27), Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano = 1.35 (league 1.03)

		Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Poggibonsi	0	7.9%	10.7%	7.3%	3.3%	1.1%	0.3%
	1	9.4%	12.7%	8.6%	3.9%	1.3%	0.4%
	2	5.5%	7.5%	5.1%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
	3	2.2%	2.9%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%
	4	0.6%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.4% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 40.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Poggibonsi	Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	2