Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Buitoni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.27) 0.87 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.9% 38.0% 43.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.1%
0 - 1
22.7%
1 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sansepolcro 0 26.1% 22.7% 9.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.3% 10.7% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSansepolcroSan Donato Tavarnelle
Played55
Form13%20%
Attack14%43%
Defense14%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sansepolcro San Donato Tavarnelle
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins17%0%8%25%23%24%
Draws42%38%40%42%46%44%
Loses42%62%52%33%31%32%

Form: Sansepolcro: WLDDDDLLLLLWDLLDDLLDDLLDL • San Donato Tavarnelle: WDWWDLDWWLLWDDDLLDDLLDDDL

League goals

Metric Sansepolcro San Donato Tavarnelle
HATHAT
GF total6713101222
GF avg0.50.50.50.80.90.9
GA total122234121527
GA avg1.01.71.41.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSansepolcroSan Donato Tavarnelle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%76%56%76%
1.58%44%24%24%
2.50%8%8%8%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSansepolcroSan Donato Tavarnelle
HATHAT
Clean sheets516336
Failed to score77146511

Penalties

MetricSansepolcroSan Donato Tavarnelle
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSansepolcroSan Donato Tavarnelle
Wins12
Draws43
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—3-10-2
Biggest losses0-25-00-23-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against2523

Model comparison

MetricSansepolcroSan Donato Tavarnelle
Form40%60%
Att25%75%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or San Donato Tavarnelle and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Betfair
Away2.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ William Hill
No1.64 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sansepolcro = 0.47 (league 1.27), San Donato Tavarnelle = 0.87 (league 1.03)

San Donato Tavarnelle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sansepolcro 0 26.1% 22.7% 9.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.3% 10.7% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.9% · Draw 38.0% · Away win 43.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1