Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Stefano Lotti
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.27) 1.97 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.9% 19.9% 67.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.6%
0 - 2
14.4%
0 - 3
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Grosseto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Poggibonsi 0 7.4% 14.6% 14.4% 9.5% 4.7% 1.8%
1 4.7% 9.2% 9.1% 6.0% 2.9% 1.2%
2 1.5% 2.9% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPoggibonsiGrosseto
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack57%100%
Defense71%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Poggibonsi Grosseto
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins33%15%24%77%75%76%
Draws17%23%20%15%0%8%
Loses50%62%56%8%25%16%

Form: Poggibonsi: LLLDDLLLLDLLLLLWDLWWDWLWW • Grosseto: LWWWDWWWWWWWDWWWWWLWWLWWL

League goals

Metric Poggibonsi Grosseto
HATHAT
GF total12921282048
GF avg1.00.70.82.21.71.9
GA total14223671017
GA avg1.21.71.40.50.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePoggibonsiGrosseto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%80%92%52%
1.512%48%48%16%
2.54%12%32%0%
3.50%4%12%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPoggibonsiGrosseto
HATHAT
Clean sheets3256612
Failed to score358112

Penalties

MetricPoggibonsiGrosseto
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricPoggibonsiGrosseto
Wins27
Draws21
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-26-00-3
Biggest losses1-24-00-12-1
Goals For3264
Goals Against2412

Model comparison

MetricPoggibonsiGrosseto
Form53%47%
Att31%69%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total36.8%63.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Grosseto

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.10 @ Unibet
Draw3.80 @ Unibet
Away1.60 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.79 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ William Hill
No1.81 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Poggibonsi = 0.63 (league 1.27), Grosseto = 1.97 (league 1.03)

Grosseto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Poggibonsi 0 7.4% 14.6% 14.4% 9.5% 4.7% 1.8%
1 4.7% 9.2% 9.1% 6.0% 2.9% 1.2%
2 1.5% 2.9% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.9% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 67.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1