Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.27)
0.78 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.7% | 25.7% | 19.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
11.8%
2 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Robur Siena | 0 | 9.8% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 11.8% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Robur Siena | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 71% | 14% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Robur Siena | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 50% | 46% | 48% | 42% | 23% | 32% |
| Draws | 8% | 31% | 20% | 50% | 23% | 36% |
| Loses | 42% | 23% | 32% | 8% | 54% | 32% |
Form: Robur Siena: LWWDWWWWDDLLDLLLWDWLLWWWW • Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano: WLDWDLWWDWWLDDLLLDWLDLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Robur Siena | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 15 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 11 | 8 | 19 | 11 | 19 | 30 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Robur Siena | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 52% | 72% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 16% | 36% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 8% | 20% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Robur Siena | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Robur Siena | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Robur Siena | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-4 | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Robur Siena | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 59.0% | 41.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Robur Siena or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.00 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ 1xBet
Away3.60 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Robur Siena = 1.54 (league 1.27), Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano = 0.78 (league 1.03)
| Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Robur Siena | 0 | 9.8% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 11.8% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.7% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 19.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1