Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Lorenzo Casini
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.28)
0.93 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.6% | 30.2% | 30.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Orvietana Calcio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting Trestina | 0 | 12.9% | 12.0% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Orvietana Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 55% | 9% |
| Defense | 55% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Orvietana Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 46% | 23% | 35% | 29% | 25% | 27% |
| Draws | 15% | 31% | 23% | 7% | 50% | 27% |
| Loses | 38% | 46% | 42% | 64% | 25% | 46% |
Form: Sporting Trestina: LWLLDLWDLWWDDDWLLLDWLLLWWW • Orvietana Calcio: WLLLLWWLDLLDWDDDWLLWDLDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Orvietana Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 16 | 30 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 11 | 20 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sporting Trestina | Orvietana Calcio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 77% | 62% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 31% | 23% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 12% | 12% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Orvietana Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Orvietana Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Orvietana Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Orvietana Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 86% | 14% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 52.8% | 47.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Sporting Trestina or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.15 @ 1xBet
Draw3.15 @ 1xBet
Away3.24 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sporting Trestina = 1.12 (league 1.28), Orvietana Calcio = 0.93 (league 1.03)
| Orvietana Calcio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting Trestina | 0 | 12.9% | 12.0% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.6% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 30.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1