Wed, Mar 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio Comunale Carraia
Expected Goals
2.79 (league 1.28)
0.44 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 79.4% | 10.5% | 3.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.5%
3 - 0
14.4%
1 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Sansepolcro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 0 | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.5% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.4% | 6.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.0% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 13% |
| Attack | 64% | 14% |
| Defense | 36% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Sansepolcro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 14 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 42% | 21% | 31% | 15% | 0% | 8% |
| Draws | 50% | 21% | 35% | 46% | 38% | 42% |
| Loses | 8% | 57% | 35% | 38% | 62% | 50% |
Form: Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano: WLDWDLWWDWWLDDLLLDWLDLDDWL • Sansepolcro: WLDDDDLLLLLWDLLDDLLDDLLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Sansepolcro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 13 | 38 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 11 | 23 | 34 | 13 | 22 | 35 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Sansepolcro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 81% | 46% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 38% | 8% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 8% | 0% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Sansepolcro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 82% | 18% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 84% | 16% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 69.6% | 30.4% |
Advice: Winner : Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano = 2.79 (league 1.28), Sansepolcro = 0.44 (league 1.03)
| Sansepolcro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 0 | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.5% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.4% | 6.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.0% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.4% · Draw 10.5% · Away win 3.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1