Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.28) 0.78 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.8% 30.1% 23.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.6%
0 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Poggibonsi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montevarchi Calcio 0 13.9% 10.8% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.6% 12.9% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.0% 7.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMontevarchi CalcioPoggibonsi
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack50%42%
Defense92%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Montevarchi Calcio Poggibonsi
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins29%36%32%29%14%21%
Draws50%36%43%14%29%21%
Loses21%29%25%57%57%57%

Form: Montevarchi Calcio: LDLWDDLWDLLWDLWWDDDLDWDWWDWD • Poggibonsi: LLLDDLLLLDLLLLLWDLWWDWLWWLDL

League goals

Metric Montevarchi Calcio Poggibonsi
HATHAT
GF total121325131124
GF avg0.90.90.90.90.80.9
GA total141529172441
GA avg1.01.11.01.21.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMontevarchi CalcioPoggibonsi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%54%68%82%
1.521%25%14%50%
2.57%18%4%11%
3.50%7%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMontevarchi CalcioPoggibonsi
HATHAT
Clean sheets6713325
Failed to score6511459

Penalties

MetricMontevarchi CalcioPoggibonsi
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMontevarchi CalcioPoggibonsi
Wins22
Draws32
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-21-2
Biggest losses0-43-01-24-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against4424

Model comparison

MetricMontevarchi CalcioPoggibonsi
Form61%39%
Att55%45%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total65.3%34.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Montevarchi Calcio or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.87 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Marathonbet
No1.68 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Montevarchi Calcio = 1.20 (league 1.28), Poggibonsi = 0.78 (league 1.03)

Poggibonsi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montevarchi Calcio 0 13.9% 10.8% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.6% 12.9% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.0% 7.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.8% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 23.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1