Sansepolcro vs Montevarchi Calcio

Serie D - Girone E — Italy

Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 13:00 • Stadio Buitoni

Not Started

Sansepolcro

—

Montevarchi Calcio

Expected Goals

0.52 (league 1.28) 0.87 (league 1.03)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
20.6%	37.5%	41.9%

best score tips

0 - 0

24.9%

0 - 1

21.8%

1 - 0

12.9%

Score & goals probability table

		Montevarchi Calcio
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Sansepolcro	0	24.9%	21.8%	9.5%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%
	1	12.9%	11.2%	4.9%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%
	2	3.3%	2.9%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	0.6%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Sansepolcro	Montevarchi Calcio
Played	5	5
Form	13%	60%
Attack	25%	50%
Defense	25%	83%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	6 \| 1.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	2 \| 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%

FT probability

2.5+

37%

FT probability

3.5+

26%

FT probability

BTTS

54%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Sansepolcro			Montevarchi Calcio
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	14	15	29	15	14	29
Wins	14%	0%	7%	27%	36%	31%
Draws	50%	33%	41%	53%	36%	45%
Loses	36%	67%	52%	20%	29%	24%

Form: Sansepolcro: WLDDDDLLLLLWDLLDDLLDDLLDLDDLL • Montevarchi Calcio: LDLWDDLWDLLWDLWWDDDLDWDWWDWDD

League goals

Metric	Sansepolcro			Montevarchi Calcio
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	8	7	15	13	13	26
GF avg	0.6	0.5	0.5	0.9	0.9	0.9
GA total	14	26	40	15	15	30
GA avg	1.0	1.7	1.4	1.0	1.1	1.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Sansepolcro		Montevarchi Calcio
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	45%	79%	62%	55%
1.5	7%	45%	21%	24%
2.5	0%	7%	7%	17%
3.5	0%	3%	0%	7%
4.5	0%	3%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Sansepolcro			Montevarchi Calcio
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	5	1	6	6	7	13
Failed to score	7	9	16	6	5	11

Penalties

Metric	Sansepolcro	Montevarchi Calcio
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	2

Streaks

Metric	Sansepolcro	Montevarchi Calcio
Wins	1	2
Draws	4	3
Losses	5	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	1-0	—	2-0	0-2
Biggest losses	0-2	5-0	0-4	3-0
Goals For	2	2	3	3
Goals Against	2	5	4	4

Model comparison

Metric	Sansepolcro	Montevarchi Calcio
Form	18%	82%
Att	33%	67%
Def	18%	82%
Poisson Distribution	33%	67%
H2h	29%	71%
Goals	40%	60%
Total	28.5%	71.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Montevarchi Calcio and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Sansepolcro vs Montevarchi Calcio

Expected goals (λ): Sansepolcro = 0.52 (league 1.28), Montevarchi Calcio = 0.87 (league 1.03)

		Montevarchi Calcio
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Sansepolcro	0	24.9%	21.8%	9.5%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%
	1	12.9%	11.2%	4.9%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%
	2	3.3%	2.9%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	0.6%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.6% · Draw 37.5% · Away win 41.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Sansepolcro	Montevarchi Calcio
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	2