Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 13:00 • Stadio Comunale Carraia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.40 (league 1.27) 1.28 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.7% 18.7% 18.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 1
7.7%
3 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Foligno Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 0 2.5% 3.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.1% 7.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.3% 9.3% 5.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.4% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 3.5% 4.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.7% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoFoligno Calcio
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack83%50%
Defense8%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano Foligno Calcio
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins43%20%31%53%36%45%
Draws43%20%31%40%7%24%
Loses14%60%38%7%57%31%

Form: Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano: WLDWDLWWDWWLDDLLLDWLDLDDWLLWL • Foligno Calcio: WLDWWLWWDWWLDLDDWDWWWLDLLLWLW

League goals

Metric Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano Foligno Calcio
HATHAT
GF total271441261844
GF avg1.90.91.41.71.31.5
GA total142539122234
GA avg1.01.71.30.81.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoFoligno Calcio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%79%76%72%
1.534%41%48%31%
2.517%10%21%14%
3.57%3%7%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoFoligno Calcio
HATHAT
Clean sheets516538
Failed to score358347

Penalties

MetricGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoFoligno Calcio
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoFoligno Calcio
Wins23
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-24-22-4
Biggest losses0-34-10-13-1
Goals For6244
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoFoligno Calcio
Form50%50%
Att63%38%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total52.0%48.2%

Advice: Double chance : Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Dafabet
Away2.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano = 2.40 (league 1.27), Foligno Calcio = 1.28 (league 1.02)

Foligno Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 0 2.5% 3.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.1% 7.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.3% 9.3% 5.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.4% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 3.5% 4.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.7% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.7% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 18.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1