Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Pianigiani
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.26)
0.98 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.3% | 29.0% | 29.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| San Donato Tavarnelle | 0 | 11.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 13.3% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 27% |
| Attack | 75% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 16 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 21% | 19% | 20% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Draws | 36% | 44% | 40% | 47% | 20% | 33% |
| Loses | 43% | 38% | 40% | 13% | 60% | 37% |
Form: San Donato Tavarnelle: WDWWDLDWWLLWDDDLLDDLLDDDLDLLLL • Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano: WLDWDLWWDWWLDDLLLDWLDLDDWLLWLD
League goals
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 13 | 25 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 16 | 18 | 34 | 14 | 25 | 39 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | San Donato Tavarnelle | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 53% | 80% | 70% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 23% | 33% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 10% | 17% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 40.3% | 59.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): San Donato Tavarnelle = 1.21 (league 1.26), Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano = 0.98 (league 1.01)
| Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| San Donato Tavarnelle | 0 | 11.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 13.3% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.3% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 29.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1