Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Lorenzo Casini
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.26)
1.06 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.4% | 26.0% | 27.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
11.6%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Gavorrano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting Trestina | 0 | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 12.4% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Gavorrano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 75% |
| Defense | 25% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Gavorrano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 40% | 27% | 33% | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| Draws | 27% | 33% | 30% | 33% | 27% | 30% |
| Loses | 33% | 40% | 37% | 40% | 47% | 43% |
Form: Sporting Trestina: LWLLDLWDLWWDDDWLLLDWLLLWWWDWDD • Gavorrano: WWDLLLDLLLWLWDDWLWLDLWLDLDLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Gavorrano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 18 | 34 | 13 | 18 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 13 | 21 | 34 | 18 | 26 | 44 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sporting Trestina | Gavorrano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 77% | 67% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 27% | 23% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 10% | 7% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Gavorrano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Gavorrano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Gavorrano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 2-4 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Gavorrano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 51.3% | 48.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Sporting Trestina or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sporting Trestina = 1.48 (league 1.26), Gavorrano = 1.06 (league 1.01)
| Gavorrano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting Trestina | 0 | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 12.4% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.4% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 27.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1