Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 13:00 •
Nuovo Stadio Comunale G.Mancini
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.23)
4.80 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.1% | 7.4% | 51.2% |
best score tips
1 - 4
5.8%
1 - 5
5.6%
1 - 3
4.9%
Score & goals probability table
| L'Aquila | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castelfidardo Calcio | 0 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 0% | 67% |
| Attack | 8% | 42% |
| Defense | 67% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 5 | 2.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
90%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | L'Aquila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Loses | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Castelfidardo Calcio: LL • L'Aquila: DW
League goals
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | L'Aquila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castelfidardo Calcio | L'Aquila | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 100% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | L'Aquila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 1-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 17% | 83% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 39.8% | 60.2% |
Advice: Combo Winner : L'Aquila and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Castelfidardo Calcio = 1.62 (league 1.23), L'Aquila = 4.80 (league 1.25)
| L'Aquila | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castelfidardo Calcio | 0 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.1% · Draw 7.4% · Away win 51.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1