Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Expected Goals
3.03 (league 1.32)
5.14 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.9% | 9.8% | 32.2% |
best score tips
3 - 5
3.9%
2 - 5
3.9%
3 - 4
3.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Ancona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Ascoli | 0 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atletico Ascoli | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 33% | 50% |
| Attack | 25% | 25% |
| Defense | 75% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 3 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 3 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
75%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
90%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atletico Ascoli | Ancona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Draws | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
Form: Atletico Ascoli: DD • Ancona: LW
League goals
| Metric | Atletico Ascoli | Ancona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atletico Ascoli | Ancona | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atletico Ascoli | Ancona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atletico Ascoli | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atletico Ascoli | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atletico Ascoli | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 49.2% | 50.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Atletico Ascoli or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atletico Ascoli = 3.03 (league 1.32), Ancona = 5.14 (league 1.17)
| Ancona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Ascoli | 0 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.9% · Draw 9.8% · Away win 32.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1