Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Guido Angelini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.31) 2.49 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.3% 15.5% 71.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.0%
0 - 3
10.0%
0 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Sammaurese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chieti 0 3.9% 9.6% 12.0% 10.0% 6.2% 3.1%
1 3.0% 7.4% 9.1% 7.6% 4.7% 2.3%
2 1.1% 2.8% 3.5% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9%
3 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChietiSammaurese
Played22
Form33%50%
Attack33%33%
Defense67%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 24 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 25 | 2.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

95%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chieti Sammaurese
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%0%0%0%100%50%
Draws100%100%100%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%100%0%50%

Form: Chieti: DD • Sammaurese: WL

League goals

Metric Chieti Sammaurese
HATHAT
GF total134134
GF avg1.03.02.01.03.02.0
GA total134415
GA avg1.03.02.04.01.02.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChietiSammaurese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.550%50%50%50%
2.550%50%50%50%
3.50%0%0%50%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChietiSammaurese
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricChietiSammaurese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricChietiSammaurese
Wins01
Draws20
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins———1-3
Biggest losses——1-4—
Goals For1313
Goals Against1341

Model comparison

MetricChietiSammaurese
Form40%60%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sammaurese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chieti = 0.76 (league 1.31), Sammaurese = 2.49 (league 1.21)

Sammaurese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chieti 0 3.9% 9.6% 12.0% 10.0% 6.2% 3.1%
1 3.0% 7.4% 9.1% 7.6% 4.7% 2.3%
2 1.1% 2.8% 3.5% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9%
3 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.3% · Draw 15.5% · Away win 71.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1