Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Guido Angelini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.23) 2.40 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.8% 16.6% 69.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.6%
0 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sammaurese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chieti 0 4.0% 9.7% 11.6% 9.3% 5.6% 2.7%
1 3.3% 7.8% 9.4% 7.5% 4.5% 2.2%
2 1.3% 3.2% 3.8% 3.1% 1.8% 0.9%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChietiSammaurese
Played22
Form33%50%
Attack33%33%
Defense67%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 24 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 25 | 2.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

95%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chieti Sammaurese
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%0%0%0%100%50%
Draws100%100%100%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%100%0%50%

Form: Chieti: DD • Sammaurese: WL

League goals

Metric Chieti Sammaurese
HATHAT
GF total134134
GF avg1.03.02.01.03.02.0
GA total134415
GA avg1.03.02.04.01.02.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChietiSammaurese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.550%50%50%50%
2.550%50%50%50%
3.50%0%0%50%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChietiSammaurese
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricChietiSammaurese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricChietiSammaurese
Wins01
Draws20
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-3
Biggest losses1-4
Goals For1313
Goals Against1341

Model comparison

MetricChietiSammaurese
Form40%60%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sammaurese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chieti = 0.81 (league 1.23), Sammaurese = 2.40 (league 1.25)

Sammaurese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chieti 0 4.0% 9.7% 11.6% 9.3% 5.6% 2.7%
1 3.3% 7.8% 9.4% 7.5% 4.5% 2.2%
2 1.3% 3.2% 3.8% 3.1% 1.8% 0.9%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.8% · Draw 16.6% · Away win 69.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1