Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 16:00 •
Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia
Expected Goals
2.43 (league 1.23)
3.20 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.9% | 16.2% | 43.9% |
best score tips
2 - 3
5.8%
2 - 2
5.4%
1 - 3
4.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Recanatese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| L'Aquila | 0 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | L'Aquila | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 78% | 44% |
| Attack | 42% | 32% |
| Defense | 84% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 2.7 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
84%
FT probability
3.5+
60%
FT probability
BTTS
93%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | L'Aquila | Recanatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
Form: L'Aquila: DWW • Recanatese: LWD
League goals
| Metric | L'Aquila | Recanatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | L'Aquila | Recanatese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | L'Aquila | Recanatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | L'Aquila | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | L'Aquila | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | — | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-4 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | L'Aquila | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 64.4% | 35.6% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : L'Aquila or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): L'Aquila = 2.43 (league 1.23), Recanatese = 3.20 (league 1.25)
| Recanatese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| L'Aquila | 0 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.9% · Draw 16.2% · Away win 43.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1