Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.29)
0.25 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.6% | 43.3% | 11.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
36.0%
1 - 0
27.8%
2 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Castelfidardo Calcio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Notaresco | 0 | 36.0% | 9.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.8% | 6.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Notaresco | Castelfidardo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 78% | 0% |
| Attack | 47% | 5% |
| Defense | 79% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 7 | 2.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Notaresco | Castelfidardo Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Form: Notaresco: WDW • Castelfidardo Calcio: LLL
League goals
| Metric | Notaresco | Castelfidardo Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Notaresco | Castelfidardo Calcio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 33% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 0% | 0% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Notaresco | Castelfidardo Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Notaresco | Castelfidardo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Notaresco | Castelfidardo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-4 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Notaresco | Castelfidardo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 90% | 10% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 76.0% | 24.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Notaresco or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Notaresco = 0.77 (league 1.29), Castelfidardo Calcio = 0.25 (league 1.21)
| Castelfidardo Calcio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Notaresco | 0 | 36.0% | 9.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.8% | 6.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.6% · Draw 43.3% · Away win 11.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1