Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 18:30 •
Stadio del Conero
Expected Goals
4.14 (league 1.23)
0.80 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
best score tips
4 - 0
8.8%
3 - 0
8.5%
5 - 0
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Victor San Marino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ancona | 0 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.8% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ancona | Victor San Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 67% | 0% |
| Attack | 26% | 11% |
| Defense | 79% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 6 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ancona | Victor San Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Form: Ancona: LWW • Victor San Marino: LLL
League goals
| Metric | Ancona | Victor San Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ancona | Victor San Marino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ancona | Victor San Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ancona | Victor San Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ancona | Victor San Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 2-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ancona | Victor San Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 65.5% | 34.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Ancona or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ancona = 4.14 (league 1.23), Victor San Marino = 0.80 (league 1.25)
| Victor San Marino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ancona | 0 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.8% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.4% · Draw 6.0% · Away win 3.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1