Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Comunale Fossombrone
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.23) 0.79 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.0% 35.3% 31.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.2%
1 - 0
16.4%
0 - 1
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Real Giulianova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fossombrone 0 20.2% 15.9% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.4% 12.9% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 6.7% 5.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFossombroneReal Giulianova
Played33
Form56%44%
Attack21%21%
Defense84%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.34 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 16 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

90%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fossombrone Real Giulianova
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%50%33%50%0%33%
Draws100%50%67%0%100%33%
Loses0%0%0%50%0%33%

Form: Fossombrone: DDW • Real Giulianova: WDL

League goals

Metric Fossombrone Real Giulianova
HATHAT
GF total134314
GF avg1.01.51.31.51.01.3
GA total123516
GA avg1.01.01.02.51.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFossombroneReal Giulianova
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.533%0%33%33%
2.50%0%0%33%
3.50%0%0%33%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFossombroneReal Giulianova
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricFossombroneReal Giulianova
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFossombroneReal Giulianova
Wins01
Draws21
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-22-1—
Biggest losses——1-4—
Goals For1221
Goals Against1141

Model comparison

MetricFossombroneReal Giulianova
Form56%44%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.5%41.5%

Advice: Double chance : Fossombrone or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Fossombrone = 0.81 (league 1.23), Real Giulianova = 0.79 (league 1.27)

Real Giulianova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fossombrone 0 20.2% 15.9% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.4% 12.9% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 6.7% 5.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.0% · Draw 35.3% · Away win 31.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1