Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Guido Angelini
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.31)
2.07 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.2% | 20.9% | 56.8% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
1 - 1
9.5%
0 - 2
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| L'Aquila | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chieti | 0 | 4.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chieti | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 50% | 83% |
| Attack | 78% | 100% |
| Defense | 33% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 10 | 2.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chieti | L'Aquila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Draws | 50% | 100% | 75% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Chieti: DDWD • L'Aquila: DWWW
League goals
| Metric | Chieti | L'Aquila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chieti | L'Aquila | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 100% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chieti | L'Aquila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chieti | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chieti | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chieti | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 38.7% | 61.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or L'Aquila
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chieti = 1.14 (league 1.31), L'Aquila = 2.07 (league 1.21)
| L'Aquila | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chieti | 0 | 4.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.2% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 56.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1