Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Claudio Tomei
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.23)
2.40 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.8% | 18.5% | 60.0% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.4%
1 - 1
7.8%
0 - 2
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Fossombrone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sora | 0 | 2.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sora | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 50% |
| Attack | 67% | 56% |
| Defense | 33% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sora | Fossombrone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Sora: LDWL • Fossombrone: DDWD
League goals
| Metric | Sora | Fossombrone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sora | Fossombrone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 25% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sora | Fossombrone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sora | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sora | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sora | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 50.3% | 49.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Fossombrone
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sora = 1.22 (league 1.23), Fossombrone = 2.40 (league 1.25)
| Fossombrone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sora | 0 | 2.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.8% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 60.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1