Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Nicola Tubaldi
Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.23)
1.00 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.4% | 20.9% | 17.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
10.0%
1 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Victor San Marino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Recanatese | 0 | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Recanatese | Victor San Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 0% |
| Attack | 78% | 22% |
| Defense | 11% | 11% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Recanatese | Victor San Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Form: Recanatese: LWDL • Victor San Marino: LLLL
League goals
| Metric | Recanatese | Victor San Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Recanatese | Victor San Marino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 0% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Recanatese | Victor San Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Recanatese | Victor San Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Recanatese | Victor San Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-4 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Recanatese | Victor San Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 78% | 22% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 67.0% | 33.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Recanatese or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Recanatese = 2.03 (league 1.23), Victor San Marino = 1.00 (league 1.25)
| Victor San Marino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Recanatese | 0 | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.4% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 17.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1