Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Nuovo Stadio Comunale G.Mancini
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.31)
6.22 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3% | 1.0% | 39.7% |
best score tips
0 - 5
8.7%
0 - 4
7.0%
1 - 5
5.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Ancona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castelfidardo Calcio | 0 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 0% | 75% |
| Attack | 11% | 78% |
| Defense | 11% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 7 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Ancona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Form: Castelfidardo Calcio: LLLL • Ancona: LWWW
League goals
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Ancona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castelfidardo Calcio | Ancona | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 25% | 100% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Ancona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 1-0 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 13% | 88% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 12% | 88% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 35.8% | 64.4% |
Advice: Winner : Ancona
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Castelfidardo Calcio = 0.57 (league 1.31), Ancona = 6.22 (league 1.21)
| Ancona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castelfidardo Calcio | 0 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.3% · Draw 1.0% · Away win 39.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1