Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.23) 2.40 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.5% 15.2% 73.6%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.2%
0 - 1
11.9%
0 - 3
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ostia Mare
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Ascoli 0 4.9% 11.9% 14.2% 11.4% 6.8% 3.3%
1 3.0% 7.2% 8.6% 6.9% 4.2% 2.0%
2 0.9% 2.2% 2.6% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico AscoliOstia Mare
Played44
Form17%100%
Attack56%67%
Defense11%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.36 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 22 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Ascoli Ostia Mare
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%0%0%100%100%100%
Draws50%50%50%0%0%0%
Loses50%50%50%0%0%0%

Form: Atletico Ascoli: DDLL • Ostia Mare: WWWW

League goals

Metric Atletico Ascoli Ostia Mare
HATHAT
GF total325336
GF avg1.51.01.31.51.51.5
GA total448112
GA avg2.02.02.00.50.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico AscoliOstia Mare
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%50%
1.525%75%50%0%
2.50%25%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico AscoliOstia Mare
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAtletico AscoliOstia Mare
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAtletico AscoliOstia Mare
Wins04
Draws20
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-2
Biggest losses1-23-1
Goals For2122
Goals Against2311

Model comparison

MetricAtletico AscoliOstia Mare
Form14%86%
Att45%55%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total26.0%74.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ostia Mare

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Atletico Ascoli = 0.61 (league 1.23), Ostia Mare = 2.40 (league 1.25)

Ostia Mare
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Ascoli 0 4.9% 11.9% 14.2% 11.4% 6.8% 3.3%
1 3.0% 7.2% 8.6% 6.9% 4.2% 2.0%
2 0.9% 2.2% 2.6% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.5% · Draw 15.2% · Away win 73.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1