Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Fossombrone
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.29)
0.41 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.8% | 52.4% | 24.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
44.9%
0 - 1
18.6%
1 - 0
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Vigor Senigallia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fossombrone | 0 | 44.9% | 18.6% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.3% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fossombrone | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 50% | 30% |
| Defense | 60% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fossombrone | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Draws | 100% | 67% | 80% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
Form: Fossombrone: DDWDD • Vigor Senigallia: WDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Fossombrone | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fossombrone | Vigor Senigallia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 60% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fossombrone | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fossombrone | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fossombrone | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fossombrone | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 61.8% | 38.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Fossombrone or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Fossombrone = 0.39 (league 1.29), Vigor Senigallia = 0.41 (league 1.21)
| Vigor Senigallia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fossombrone | 0 | 44.9% | 18.6% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.3% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.8% · Draw 52.4% · Away win 24.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1