Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.23)
0.80 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.3% | 24.7% | 18.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
2 - 0
11.7%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Chieti | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Notaresco | 0 | 8.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Notaresco | Chieti |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 80% |
| Defense | 60% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Notaresco | Chieti | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 100% | 80% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 20% | 67% | 100% | 80% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Notaresco: WDWWW • Chieti: DDWDD
League goals
| Metric | Notaresco | Chieti | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Notaresco | Chieti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 60% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 40% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Notaresco | Chieti | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Notaresco | Chieti |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Notaresco | Chieti |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-4 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Notaresco | Chieti |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 62.5% | 37.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Notaresco or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Notaresco = 1.62 (league 1.23), Chieti = 0.80 (league 1.25)
| Chieti | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Notaresco | 0 | 8.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.3% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 18.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1