Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio del Conero
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.29)
1.04 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.4% | 29.1% | 32.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
12.9%
0 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Recanatese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ancona | 0 | 11.1% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ancona | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 27% |
| Attack | 80% | 70% |
| Defense | 60% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ancona | Recanatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 100% | 80% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 20% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
Form: Ancona: LWWWW • Recanatese: LWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Ancona | Recanatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ancona | Recanatese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 60% | 80% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 20% | 20% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ancona | Recanatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ancona | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ancona | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-3 | — | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 1-4 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ancona | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 63.0% | 37.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Ancona or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ancona = 1.16 (league 1.29), Recanatese = 1.04 (league 1.21)
| Recanatese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ancona | 0 | 11.1% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.4% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 32.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1