Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Giorgio Calbi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.23) 1.20 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.9% 29.9% 45.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.1%
0 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Ascoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Victor San Marino 0 13.4% 16.1% 9.6% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.9% 13.0% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.4% 5.3% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVictor San MarinoAtletico Ascoli
Played55
Form20%13%
Attack40%50%
Defense20%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Victor San Marino Atletico Ascoli
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%33%20%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%33%50%40%
Loses100%67%80%67%50%60%

Form: Victor San Marino: LLLLW • Atletico Ascoli: DDLLL

League goals

Metric Victor San Marino Atletico Ascoli
HATHAT
GF total134325
GF avg0.51.00.81.01.01.0
GA total3586410
GA avg1.51.71.62.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVictor San MarinoAtletico Ascoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%80%100%
1.520%60%20%80%
2.50%20%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVictor San MarinoAtletico Ascoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricVictor San MarinoAtletico Ascoli
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVictor San MarinoAtletico Ascoli
Wins00
Draws02
Losses40

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-2
Biggest losses1-23-10-23-1
Goals For1221
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricVictor San MarinoAtletico Ascoli
Form60%40%
Att44%56%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Victor San Marino or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Victor San Marino = 0.81 (league 1.23), Atletico Ascoli = 1.20 (league 1.25)

Atletico Ascoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Victor San Marino 0 13.4% 16.1% 9.6% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.9% 13.0% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.4% 5.3% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 45.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1