Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.23)
4.80 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0% | 2.9% | 61.2% |
best score tips
0 - 4
10.3%
0 - 5
9.9%
0 - 3
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Notaresco | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigor Senigallia | 0 | 0.5% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Notaresco |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 33% | 67% |
| Defense | 33% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Notaresco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 67% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
Form: Vigor Senigallia: WDLLLW • Notaresco: WDWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Notaresco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vigor Senigallia | Notaresco | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 33% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Notaresco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Notaresco |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Notaresco |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 1-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 1-0 | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Notaresco |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 12% | 88% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 39.0% | 61.0% |
Advice: Winner : Notaresco
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vigor Senigallia = 0.57 (league 1.23), Notaresco = 4.80 (league 1.25)
| Notaresco | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigor Senigallia | 0 | 0.5% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.0% · Draw 2.9% · Away win 61.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1