Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 •
Nuovo Stadio Comunale G.Mancini
Expected Goals
0.30 (league 1.31)
3.31 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5% | 6.1% | 80.6% |
best score tips
0 - 3
16.4%
0 - 2
14.8%
0 - 4
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Atletico Ascoli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castelfidardo Calcio | 0 | 2.7% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 9.0% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Atletico Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 27% |
| Attack | 17% | 50% |
| Defense | 33% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Atletico Ascoli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 100% | 67% | 83% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
Form: Castelfidardo Calcio: LLLLLD • Atletico Ascoli: DDLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Atletico Ascoli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castelfidardo Calcio | Atletico Ascoli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 100% | 83% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Atletico Ascoli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Atletico Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Atletico Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Atletico Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 12% | 88% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 26.4% | 73.6% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Ascoli
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Castelfidardo Calcio = 0.30 (league 1.31), Atletico Ascoli = 3.31 (league 1.18)
| Atletico Ascoli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castelfidardo Calcio | 0 | 2.7% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 9.0% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.5% · Draw 6.1% · Away win 80.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1