Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Giorgio Calbi
Expected Goals
0.32 (league 1.23)
1.12 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.4% | 33.0% | 56.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
26.6%
0 - 0
23.8%
0 - 2
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Castelfidardo Calcio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Victor San Marino | 0 | 23.8% | 26.6% | 14.9% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Castelfidardo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 7% |
| Attack | 22% | 17% |
| Defense | 56% | 28% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Castelfidardo Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Loses | 100% | 50% | 71% | 100% | 67% | 86% |
Form: Victor San Marino: LLLLWLD • Castelfidardo Calcio: LLLLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Castelfidardo Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Victor San Marino | Castelfidardo Calcio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 86% | 43% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 57% | 14% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 29% | 0% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Castelfidardo Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Castelfidardo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Castelfidardo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-1 | 1-6 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Castelfidardo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 53.6% | 46.4% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Castelfidardo Calcio
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Victor San Marino = 0.32 (league 1.23), Castelfidardo Calcio = 1.12 (league 1.25)
| Castelfidardo Calcio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Victor San Marino | 0 | 23.8% | 26.6% | 14.9% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.4% · Draw 33.0% · Away win 56.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1