Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Anco Marzio
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.29)
0.60 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.1% | 32.7% | 20.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.2%
0 - 0
18.6%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Fossombrone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ostia Mare | 0 | 18.6% | 11.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.2% | 12.0% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 33% |
| Attack | 61% | 22% |
| Defense | 83% | 72% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Fossombrone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 67% | 57% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 29% |
Form: Ostia Mare: WWWWWWW • Fossombrone: DDWDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Fossombrone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ostia Mare | Fossombrone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 57% | 71% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 0% | 14% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Fossombrone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 70.5% | 29.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Ostia Mare or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ostia Mare = 1.09 (league 1.29), Fossombrone = 0.60 (league 1.17)
| Fossombrone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ostia Mare | 0 | 18.6% | 11.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.2% | 12.0% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.1% · Draw 32.7% · Away win 20.1%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1