Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.23)
2.72 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.1% | 16.8% | 60.0% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.5%
1 - 3
7.7%
1 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Recanatese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Ascoli | 0 | 1.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atletico Ascoli | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 7% |
| Attack | 61% | 17% |
| Defense | 56% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atletico Ascoli | Recanatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 29% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Loses | 67% | 25% | 43% | 75% | 67% | 71% |
Form: Atletico Ascoli: DDLLLWW • Recanatese: LWDLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Atletico Ascoli | Recanatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 11 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atletico Ascoli | Recanatese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 86% | 71% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 57% | 14% | 71% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 14% | 14% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 14% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atletico Ascoli | Recanatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atletico Ascoli | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atletico Ascoli | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-6 | — | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atletico Ascoli | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 79% | 21% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 65.8% | 34.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Atletico Ascoli or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atletico Ascoli = 1.38 (league 1.23), Recanatese = 2.72 (league 1.25)
| Recanatese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Ascoli | 0 | 1.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.1% · Draw 16.8% · Away win 60.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1