Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 •
Campo Da Calcio Macrelli
Expected Goals
0.16 (league 1.29)
1.41 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.1% | 25.8% | 69.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
29.3%
0 - 0
20.7%
0 - 2
20.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Vigor Senigallia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sammaurese | 0 | 20.7% | 29.3% | 20.6% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sammaurese | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 27% |
| Attack | 6% | 17% |
| Defense | 50% | 61% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sammaurese | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 67% | 29% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 14% | 50% | 0% | 29% |
| Loses | 67% | 75% | 71% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
Form: Sammaurese: WLLLLDL • Vigor Senigallia: WDLLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Sammaurese | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 5 | 9 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sammaurese | Vigor Senigallia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 43% | 86% | 57% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 57% | 14% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 29% | 0% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 29% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sammaurese | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sammaurese | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sammaurese | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sammaurese | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 14% | 86% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 25.8% | 74.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Vigor Senigallia and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sammaurese = 0.16 (league 1.29), Vigor Senigallia = 1.41 (league 1.21)
| Vigor Senigallia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sammaurese | 0 | 20.7% | 29.3% | 20.6% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.1% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 69.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1