Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.23) 1.04 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.3% 30.0% 34.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
1 - 0
13.0%
0 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Maceratese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notaresco 0 12.3% 12.8% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.8% 7.1% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNotarescoMaceratese
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack39%39%
Defense72%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Notaresco Maceratese
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%75%57%50%33%43%
Draws33%25%29%0%0%0%
Loses33%0%14%50%67%57%

Form: Notaresco: WDWWWLD • Maceratese: LLLWWLW

League goals

Metric Notaresco Maceratese
HATHAT
GF total3912538
GF avg1.02.31.71.31.01.1
GA total437448
GA avg1.30.81.01.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNotarescoMaceratese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%57%86%71%
1.529%29%29%43%
2.529%14%0%0%
3.529%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNotarescoMaceratese
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricNotarescoMaceratese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNotarescoMaceratese
Wins32
Draws10
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-42-00-1
Biggest losses1-31-22-1
Goals For1421
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricNotarescoMaceratese
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Notaresco = 1.05 (league 1.23), Maceratese = 1.04 (league 1.25)

Maceratese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notaresco 0 12.3% 12.8% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.8% 7.1% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.3% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 34.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1