Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Fossombrone
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.29)
2.48 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | 13.6% | 76.9% |
best score tips
0 - 2
15.7%
0 - 3
13.0%
0 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Notaresco | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fossombrone | 0 | 5.1% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| 1 | 2.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fossombrone | Notaresco |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 67% |
| Attack | 23% | 38% |
| Defense | 46% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fossombrone | Notaresco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 13% | 50% | 75% | 63% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 25% | 38% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
Form: Fossombrone: DDWDDLLL • Notaresco: WDWWWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Fossombrone | Notaresco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fossombrone | Notaresco | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 88% | 88% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 25% | 38% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 13% | 25% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fossombrone | Notaresco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fossombrone | Notaresco |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fossombrone | Notaresco |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fossombrone | Notaresco |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17% | 83% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 18% | 82% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 36.5% | 63.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Notaresco
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Fossombrone = 0.49 (league 1.29), Notaresco = 2.48 (league 1.21)
| Notaresco | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fossombrone | 0 | 5.1% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| 1 | 2.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.5% · Draw 13.6% · Away win 76.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1