Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 14:30 • Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.31) 1.02 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.7% 35.3% 51.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
25.1%
0 - 0
24.7%
0 - 2
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Termoli Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vigor Senigallia 0 24.7% 25.1% 12.8% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2%
1 9.4% 9.6% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVigor SenigalliaTermoli Calcio
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack29%41%
Defense65%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vigor Senigallia Termoli Calcio
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins0%75%38%25%25%25%
Draws50%0%25%50%50%50%
Loses50%25%38%25%25%25%

Form: Vigor Senigallia: WDLLLWDW • Termoli Calcio: LWDWLDDD

League goals

Metric Vigor Senigallia Termoli Calcio
HATHAT
GF total2578311
GF avg0.51.30.92.00.81.4
GA total6397411
GA avg1.50.81.11.81.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVigor SenigalliaTermoli Calcio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%75%88%88%
1.525%25%38%38%
2.50%13%13%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVigor SenigalliaTermoli Calcio
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score213011

Penalties

MetricVigor SenigalliaTermoli Calcio
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricVigor SenigalliaTermoli Calcio
Wins11
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-23-10-1
Biggest losses1-31-02-32-0
Goals For1231
Goals Against3132

Model comparison

MetricVigor SenigalliaTermoli Calcio
Form54%46%
Att42%58%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h93%7%
Goals69%31%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Vigor Senigallia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vigor Senigallia = 0.38 (league 1.31), Termoli Calcio = 1.02 (league 1.18)

Termoli Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vigor Senigallia 0 24.7% 25.1% 12.8% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2%
1 9.4% 9.6% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.7% · Draw 35.3% · Away win 51.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1